Matchup Machine

Josh Rojas

sometext

matchup for Tyler Anderson

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

sometext

Tyler Anderson

sometext

matchup for Josh Rojas

196th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for Rojas
5

Model Prediction

Josh Rojas has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.5% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%20.2%2.2%5.7%12.4%14.8%23.7%
Rojas+2.5-0.4+0.10.0-0.5+3.0-1.1
Anderson+1.2-2.1-0.8+0.5-1.8+3.3+2.1

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Josh Rojas is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Josh Rojas has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Josh Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.9% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.3% -1.0% 40%         In Play -0.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base -2.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -4.2% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.2%

History

Josh Rojas has 8 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual881001300.125
Expected From Contact →1.250.000.270.980.156
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-22Strikeout
2024-07-22Groundout1%59%40%
2022-05-29Strikeout
2022-05-29Strikeout
2022-05-29Lineout19%4%76%
2022-05-17Single4%26%71%
2022-05-17Forceout2%3%95%
2022-05-17Lineout7%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.