Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Rojas

matchup for Lance Lynn

256th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Lance Lynn

matchup for Josh Rojas

151st out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Rojas

Josh Rojas has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Lance Lynn, which is 1.5% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Lynn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	21.7%	2.5%	6.3%	13.0%	12.2%	19.5%
Rojas	+1.5	+1.1	+0.4	+0.6	+0.1	+0.4	-5.3
Lynn	+1.0	-2.4	-0.6	+0.5	-2.2	+3.4	-0.3

Josh Rojas is better vs right-handed pitching. Lance Lynn is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rojas has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Lance Lynn throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Josh Rojas has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

25%

Sinker (R)

16%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

7% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Josh Rojas has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

85% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Josh Rojas has a B- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 85%

+32%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Low Ride 36%

+12%

Small Break 19%

+10%

14.1% of Josh Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Lance Lynn strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.9% +1.3% 4%

Walk +1.3% -1.6% 40%

In Play -0.4% +0.3% 39%

On Base -2.9% -2.3% 31%

Hit -4.2% -0.6% 14%

Single -2.1% -0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.7% -0.1% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.4%

38.0% of Josh Rojas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Lance Lynn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.5% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.3% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.3% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +1.6%

15.4% of Josh Rojas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.9% lower than the league average. 23.9% of batted balls allowed by Lance Lynn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.7% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.9% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.7% -1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.9% -0.4%

10.8% of Josh Rojas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Lance Lynn are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%