Matchup Machine

Adley Rutschman

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matchup for Y. Yamamoto

354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto

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matchup for Adley Rutschman

522nd out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Leans in favor of Yamamoto
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Model Prediction

Adley Rutschman has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 3.2% lower than Rutschman's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%20.9%2.0%4.5%14.4%10.1%22.1%
Rutschman-3.2-2.2-0.2-1.3-0.8-0.9+4.7
Yamamoto+1.7+0.6-0.4+0.7+0.3+1.1-5.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Adley Rutschman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rutschman has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Adley Rutschman has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Splitter (R)
24%
   Curve (R)
22%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.3% of Adley Rutschman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.9% lower than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.9% +3.3% 4%         Walk +1.7% -1.8% 37%         In Play +7.2% -1.4% 39%         On Base +1.8% +1.2% 31%         Hit +0.1% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.4% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years