matchup for Hunter Gaddis
matchup for Adley Rutschman
2
Adley Rutschman has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 6.5% lower than Rutschman's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Gaddis.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.0% | 19.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 17.5% |
| Rutschman | -6.5 | -4.2 | -0.2 | -0.8 | -3.2 | -2.3 | +1.2 |
| Gaddis | +0.6 | +0.1 | -0.7 | +0.3 | +0.5 | +0.5 | -9.7 |
Adley Rutschman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rutschman has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Adley Rutschman has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
39%
Slider (R)
31%
Changeup (R)
18%
Cutter (R)
9%
13% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Adley Rutschman has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Edge Painter
19%
+2%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Meatball
6%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-1%
Chaser
4%
-2%
22% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Adley Rutschman has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Small Break
22%
+11%
9.3% of Adley Rutschman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.9% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-8.9%
-0.6%
4%
Walk
+1.7%
-1.7%
37%
In Play
+7.2%
+2.4%
39%
On Base
+1.8%
-5.5%
31%
Hit
+0.1%
-3.8%
14%
Single
-0.4%
-2.8%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.1%
-2.4%
3%
Home Run
+0.4%
+1.5%
30.1% of Adley Rutschman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis induces Standard Grounders at a 28.1% rate, which is 6.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
-4.3%
-6.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.4%
-1.7%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.2%
+1.0%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
-4.8%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
+1.0%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.0%
+2.9%
1%
No Doubter
-0.4%
-0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
+4.9%
+5.6%
3%
Pop up
+1.4%
+3.4%
20.7% of Adley Rutschman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.3%
-3.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.5%
+1.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.7%
+0.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+2.1%
+0.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.6%
+0.5%
11.9% of Adley Rutschman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 13.5% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.8%
-5.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.9%
-2.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.0%
-2.2%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.6%
-2.7%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.6%
-0.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.5%
+2.1%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.6%
+3.4%
8%
Above 50°
+1.5%
+7.8%
Adley Rutschman has 4 plate appearances against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.96 | 0.245 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-02 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2024-06-24 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-09-21 | Single | 1% | 74% | 25% | |
| 2023-09-21 | Groundout | 20% | 80% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
