Matchup Machine

Adley Rutschman

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

396th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Adley Rutschman

345th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Strong advantage for Rutschman
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Model Prediction

Adley Rutschman has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.5% lower than Rutschman's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%22.6%1.8%7.0%13.8%10.0%16.0%
Rutschman-1.5-0.5-0.4+1.2-1.3-0.9-1.4
Weathers+2.7+1.0-0.3+1.4-0.1+1.7-8.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Adley Rutschman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Rutschman has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Adley Rutschman has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

9.3% of Adley Rutschman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.9% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.9% -2.1% 4%         Walk +1.7% -0.6% 37%         In Play +7.2% +2.7% 39%         On Base +1.8% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.1% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years