matchup for Jose Berrios
matchup for Adley Rutschman
9
Adley Rutschman has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 1.4% higher than Rutschman's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Berrios.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.6% | 27.0% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 15.4% |
| Rutschman | +1.4 | +2.9 | +0.2 | +1.2 | +1.5 | -1.5 | -1.4 |
| Berrios | +2.5 | +2.1 | -0.4 | +1.4 | +1.1 | +0.4 | -7.7 |
Adley Rutschman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rutschman has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Adley Rutschman has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
30%
Curve (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
23%
Changeup (R)
16%
9.6% of Adley Rutschman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-8.4%
+0.7%
4%
Walk
+1.3%
-0.8%
37%
In Play
+7.2%
+0.1%
39%
On Base
+1.1%
-0.3%
31%
Hit
-0.2%
+0.6%
14%
Single
-0.3%
+0.2%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.2%
+0.2%
3%
Home Run
+0.3%
+0.2%
Adley Rutschman has 27 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 15 for 25 with 4 home runs, 2 doubles and 2 walks
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 27 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0.600 |
| Expected From Contact → | 12.14 | 3.93 | 1.37 | 6.84 | 0.485 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2025-03-27 | Single | ||||
| 2025-03-27 | Home Run | ||||
| 2025-03-27 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-05 | GIDP | 2% | 2% | 96% | |
| 2024-06-05 | Groundout | 14% | 86% | ||
| 2024-06-05 | Single | 2% | 42% | 56% | |
| 2024-05-13 | Home Run | 93% | 2% | 5% | |
| 2024-05-13 | Home Run | 87% | 3% | 9% | |
| 2024-05-13 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2023-08-24 | Pop Out | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2023-08-24 | Single | 5% | 65% | 30% | |
| 2023-08-24 | Single | 87% | 12% | ||
| 2023-06-14 | Groundout | 12% | 88% | ||
| 2023-06-14 | Lineout | 1% | 30% | 68% | |
| 2023-06-14 | Single | 5% | 71% | 24% | |
| 2022-10-03 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-10-03 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-10-03 | Single | 75% | 24% | ||
| 2022-09-17 | Single | 4% | 54% | 42% | |
| 2022-09-17 | Flyout | 4% | 6% | 91% | |
| 2022-09-17 | Single | 44% | 55% | ||
| 2022-09-05 | Flyout | 1% | 98% | ||
| 2022-09-05 | Double | 41% | 38% | 2% | 19% |
| 2022-09-05 | Single | 14% | 51% | 35% | |
| 2022-06-15 | Double | 39% | 12% | 48% | |
| 2022-06-15 | Groundout | 15% | 84% | ||
| 2022-06-15 | Home Run | 67% | 12% | 21% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
Edge Painter
Weak Challenge
Chaser
Fringe Miss
Likely Ball
Mid Challenge
Strong Challenge
Meatball
Non-Competitive
Extreme Break
Low Ride
Very Slow Velo
Squib/Bunt
Standard Grounder
Hard Grounder
Low Screamer
Rising Liner
Maybe Homer
Likely Homer
No Doubter
Routine Flyout
Pop up
Below 75 mph
75 to 86 mph
87 to 93 mph
94 to 99 mph
Above 100 mph
Below -10°
-10 to 0°
1 to 6°
7 to 18°
19 to 28°
29 to 38°
39 to 50°
Above 50°