Matchup Machine

Adley Rutschman

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matchup for Austin Gomber

265th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Adley Rutschman

279th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Strong advantage for Rutschman
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Model Prediction

Adley Rutschman has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.8% lower than Rutschman's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%25.9%2.7%6.5%16.8%6.4%13.7%
Rutschman-1.8+2.8+0.4+0.7+1.7-4.6-3.7
Gomber+0.6+0.0-0.7-0.2+0.9+0.5-4.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Adley Rutschman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Rutschman has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Adley Rutschman has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

9.3% of Adley Rutschman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.9% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.9% -3.3% 4%         Walk +1.7% -2.5% 37%         In Play +7.2% +5.9% 39%         On Base +1.8% +0.6% 31%         Hit +0.1% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years