Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Adley Rutschman

matchup for Shelby Miller

341st out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Shelby Miller

matchup for Adley Rutschman

416th out of 564 (Worst 26%)

Moderate advantage for Rutschman

Adley Rutschman has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 2.5% lower than Rutschman's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	21.5%	2.5%	5.7%	13.3%	10.1%	18.9%
Rutschman	-2.5	-1.6	+0.3	0.0	-1.9	-0.9	+1.5
Miller	+2.3	+0.4	-1.2	+0.7	+0.9	+2.0	-5.8

Adley Rutschman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rutschman has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Adley Rutschman has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Adley Rutschman has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Adley Rutschman has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 27%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

9.3% of Adley Rutschman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.9% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.9% +0.3% 4%

Walk +1.7% +0.8% 37%

In Play +7.2% -1.1% 39%

On Base +1.8% -4.9% 31%

Hit +0.1% -5.7% 14%

Single -0.4% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.3%

30.1% of Adley Rutschman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.3% -0.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.0% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.9% +3.5% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +1.2%

20.7% of Adley Rutschman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% -4.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.7% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.1% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.6% +1.2%

11.9% of Adley Rutschman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%