Matchup Machine

      Brice Turang

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      matchup for C. Hernandez

      317th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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      Carlos Hernandez

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      matchup for Brice Turang

      242nd out of 564 (Best 44%)

      Strong advantage for Turang
      6

      Model Prediction

      Brice Turang has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.9% higher than Turang's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Brice Turang is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Turang has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Brice Turang has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      49%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Curve (R)
      9%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      8%
         Splitter (R)
      6%
         Sinker (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.6% of Brice Turang's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.8% -1.9% 5%         Walk -0.6% +1.9% 37%         In Play +7.4% 0.0% 39%         On Base +11.3% +0.8% 31%         Hit +11.9% -1.1% 14%         Single +6.8% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +7.2% -0.6% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +0.6%

      History

      Brice Turang has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.006
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-05-14Strikeout
      2023-05-13Flyout99%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.