Matchup Machine

Brice Turang

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matchup for Zac Gallen

355th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Zac Gallen

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matchup for Brice Turang

234th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Strong advantage for Turang
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Model Prediction

Brice Turang has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 1.4% higher than Turang's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Gallen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%24.5%1.6%5.9%17.0%10.2%20.0%
Turang+1.4-0.8+0.1+0.5-1.4+2.3+2.9
Gallen+2.0+3.5-1.2+0.8+3.9-1.5-10.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Brice Turang is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Turang has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Brice Turang has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Kn-Curve (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Cutter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Brice Turang's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +3.5% 4%         Walk -0.5% -0.3% 37%         In Play +7.5% -3.2% 39%         On Base +11.2% -1.8% 31%         Hit +11.7% -1.5% 14%         Single +6.7% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +7.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.1%

History

Brice Turang has 10 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 9 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual1094004210.444
Expected From Contact →2.930.000.102.830.326
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-20Groundout4%96%
2024-09-20Single87%13%
2024-09-20Flyout99%
2024-09-15Walk
2024-09-15Single3%85%12%
2024-09-15Single62%37%
2023-10-04Lineout5%3%92%
2023-10-04Strikeout
2023-04-10Strikeout
2023-04-10Single42%57%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.