Matchup Machine

Brice Turang

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

249th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Brice Turang

170th out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Turang
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Model Prediction

Brice Turang has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 1.6% higher than Turang's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.9%26.4%1.6%5.4%19.4%8.5%14.9%
Turang+1.6+1.1+0.1-0.1+1.1+0.5-2.2
Flaherty+0.7+3.2-2.0+0.2+4.9-2.5-7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Brice Turang is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Turang has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Brice Turang has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Brice Turang's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +5.8% 4%         Walk -0.5% -1.5% 37%         In Play +7.5% -4.3% 39%         On Base +11.2% -2.0% 31%         Hit +11.7% -0.5% 14%         Single +6.7% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +7.1% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.2%

History

Brice Turang has 8 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a double and 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual862011120.333
Expected From Contact →1.810.000.791.010.302
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-15Double74%23%3%
2024-08-15Walk
2024-08-15Single3%45%52%
2023-05-15Flyout100%
2023-05-15Groundout13%87%
2023-05-15Strikeout
2023-04-07Walk
2023-04-07Groundout2%20%78%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.