Matchup Machine

Brice Turang

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matchup for Carlos Rodon

231st out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Carlos Rodon

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matchup for Brice Turang

518th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Moderate advantage for Rodon
5

Model Prediction

Brice Turang has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 2.0% lower than Turang's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Rodon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%23.8%1.3%4.3%18.1%6.9%31.1%
Turang-2.0-1.2+0.1-0.9-0.4-0.7+13.4
Rodon+1.2+2.8-1.8-0.3+4.9-1.6-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Brice Turang is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Turang doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Brice Turang has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
56%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Brice Turang's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +5.4% 4%         Walk -0.6% +0.2% 37%         In Play +7.5% -5.6% 39%         On Base +11.1% -2.6% 31%         Hit +11.6% -2.8% 14%         Single +7.0% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +7.1% -1.7% 3%         Home Run -2.4% +0.5%

History

Brice Turang has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Rodon in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.001.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Single
2025-03-27Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.