Matchup Machine

Brice Turang

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matchup for Zack Wheeler

398th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Zack Wheeler

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matchup for Brice Turang

516th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Moderate advantage for Wheeler
3

Model Prediction

Brice Turang has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 4.3% lower than Turang's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Wheeler.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.9%21.9%1.4%5.9%14.5%7.0%22.5%
Turang-4.3-3.50.0+0.4-3.8-0.9+5.5
Wheeler+3.1+4.1-1.0+1.4+3.7-1.1-9.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Brice Turang is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Turang has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Brice Turang has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Brice Turang's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +7.9% 4%         Walk -0.5% -2.6% 37%         In Play +7.5% -5.3% 39%         On Base +11.2% -6.2% 31%         Hit +11.7% -3.6% 14%         Single +6.7% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +7.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -1.0%

History

Brice Turang has 8 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual881001000.125
Expected From Contact →1.180.000.051.130.148
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-17Groundout33%67%
2024-09-17Groundout9%91%
2024-09-17Flyout99%
2024-06-03GIDP4%95%
2024-06-03Single3%60%37%
2024-06-03Flyout99%
2023-09-01Flyout99%
2023-09-01Groundout6%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.