Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Royce Lewis

matchup for Dean Kremer

211st out of 436 (Best 49%)

Dean Kremer

matchup for Royce Lewis

433rd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Kremer

Royce Lewis has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 1.8% lower than Lewis's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Kremer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.4%	19.7%	3.4%	4.6%	11.8%	9.6%	29.4%
Lewis	-1.8	-2.6	+0.3	-1.4	-1.5	+0.8	+4.2
Kremer	-0.8	-0.8	+0.5	+0.3	-1.6	+0.0	+4.2

Royce Lewis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Lewis has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Royce Lewis has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

12%

Sinker (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

12% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Royce Lewis has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

74% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Royce Lewis has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 74%

+20%

13.9% of Royce Lewis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.1% -0.3% 4%

Walk +0.8% +0.8% 39%

In Play +0.3% -0.4% 39%

On Base -0.6% +1.3% 31%

Hit -1.5% +0.6% 14%

Single -2.1% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -1.7% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.3% +0.8%

29.5% of Royce Lewis's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.9% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.8% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.8% +2.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.0% +2.0% 3%

Pop up +4.3% +1.8%

27.8% of Royce Lewis's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.8% +0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.5% 0.0%

13.9% of Royce Lewis's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.3% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.7% -3.1% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° -3.9% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +2.4% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% +2.6% 8%

Above 50° +5.9% +4.0%

Royce Lewis has 2 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.84	0.00	0.00	0.83			0.419

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-30	Single			83%	17%
2023-06-30	Flyout				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe