Matchup Machine

Royce Lewis

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matchup for G. Cleavinger

216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Garrett Cleavinger

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matchup for Royce Lewis

353rd out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Lewis
2

Model Prediction

Royce Lewis has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 0.4% higher than Lewis's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Cleavinger.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%22.2%2.5%5.2%14.5%9.4%25.2%
Lewis+0.4-0.2-0.6-0.8+1.2+0.60.0
Cleavinger-1.3+0.60.0+0.8-0.2-2.0+0.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Royce Lewis is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lewis doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Royce Lewis hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
41%
   4-Seam (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Sinker (L)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Royce Lewis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.1% +4.2% 4%         Walk +0.8% +3.9% 39%         In Play +0.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base -0.6% +3.2% 31%         Hit -1.5% -0.7% 14%         Single -2.1% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.3% +0.3%

History

Royce Lewis has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Cleavinger in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-20Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.