Matchup Machine

Royce Lewis

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

284th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Royce Lewis

346th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Lewis
2

Model Prediction

Royce Lewis has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.9% higher than Lewis's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%20.0%2.8%4.7%12.5%12.0%26.3%
Lewis+0.9-2.3-0.2-1.3-0.7+3.1+1.1
Schmidt+0.1+0.5+0.4+0.7-0.6-0.4+1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Royce Lewis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lewis has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Royce Lewis has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Royce Lewis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.1% +0.3% 4%         Walk +0.8% +1.6% 39%         In Play +0.3% -1.9% 39%         On Base -0.6% -0.3% 31%         Hit -1.5% -2.0% 14%         Single -2.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.3% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years