Matchup Machine

Royce Lewis

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matchup for Brad Keller

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Brad Keller

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matchup for Royce Lewis

177th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Strong advantage for Lewis
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Model Prediction

Royce Lewis has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 1.5% higher than Lewis's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Keller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%22.5%3.1%6.5%12.9%10.1%21.4%
Lewis+1.5+0.2+0.1+0.5-0.3+1.2-3.7
Keller-0.2-0.2+0.1+1.5-1.80.0+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Royce Lewis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lewis has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Royce Lewis has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
34%
   Sinker (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Royce Lewis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.1% -5.3% 4%         Walk +0.8% +0.7% 39%         In Play +0.3% +4.6% 39%         On Base -0.6% +4.5% 31%         Hit -1.5% +3.8% 14%         Single -2.1% +2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% +2.3% 3%         Home Run +2.3% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years