Matchup Machine

Royce Lewis

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matchup for Colin Rea

114th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Colin Rea

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matchup for Royce Lewis

163rd out of 567 (Best 30%)

Strong advantage for Lewis
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Model Prediction

Royce Lewis has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 1.0% higher than Lewis's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Rea.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%24.8%3.3%7.0%14.6%7.2%21.5%
Lewis+1.0+2.5+0.3+1.0+1.3-1.6-3.7
Rea-2.3-2.6-0.2+0.6-3.0+0.3+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Royce Lewis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lewis has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Royce Lewis has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
29%
   Cutter (R)
22%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
8%
   Curve (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Royce Lewis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.1% -3.1% 4%         Walk +0.8% -1.6% 39%         In Play +0.3% +4.8% 39%         On Base -0.6% +0.8% 31%         Hit -1.5% +2.5% 14%         Single -2.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.3% +1.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years