Mark Vientos has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 3.6% higher than Vientos's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Brzykcy.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 32.7% | 24.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 27.6% |
Vientos | +3.6 | +2.7 | +0.7 | +1.5 | +0.4 | +0.9 | -3.8 |
Brzykcy | -2.2 | +0.8 | +0.8 | +0.3 | -0.4 | -3.0 | +5.9 |
Mark Vientos is better vs right-handed pitching. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vientos has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Mark Vientos has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
18.4% of Mark Vientos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Mark Vientos has 1 plate appearance against Zach Brzykcy in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.110 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-17 | Flyout | 5% | 6% | 89% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.