Matchup Machine

Mark Vientos

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

96th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Mark Vientos

554th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Extreme advantage for Gilbert
9

Model Prediction

Mark Vientos has a 22.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 6.5% lower than Vientos's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.6%18.3%2.2%5.2%10.9%4.3%42.2%
Vientos-6.5-3.2-1.0+0.4-2.6-3.3+10.8
Gilbert-2.1-1.4-0.2+0.2-1.4-0.7+7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Vientos is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vientos has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mark Vientos has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

18.4% of Mark Vientos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.3% +4.3% 5%         Walk -1.0% -4.2% 42%         In Play -5.3% 0.0% 39%         On Base -0.5% -7.3% 31%         Hit +0.5% -3.1% 14%         Single -1.0% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.5%

History

Mark Vientos has 3 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →1.130.000.440.690.378
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-10Groundout26%74%
2024-08-10Lineout43%41%17%
2024-08-10Groundout1%3%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.