Mark Vientos has a 22.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 6.5% lower than Vientos's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Gilbert.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 22.6% | 18.3% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 42.2% |
Vientos | -6.5 | -3.2 | -1.0 | +0.4 | -2.6 | -3.3 | +10.8 |
Gilbert | -2.1 | -1.4 | -0.2 | +0.2 | -1.4 | -0.7 | +7.6 |
Mark Vientos is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vientos has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mark Vientos has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
18.4% of Mark Vientos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Mark Vientos has 3 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.44 | 0.69 | 0.378 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-10 | Groundout | 26% | 74% | ||
2024-08-10 | Lineout | 43% | 41% | 17% | |
2024-08-10 | Groundout | 1% | 3% | 96% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.