Matchup Machine

Mark Vientos

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matchup for Corbin Burnes

44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Corbin Burnes

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matchup for Mark Vientos

464th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Strong advantage for Burnes
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Model Prediction

Mark Vientos has a 26.2% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 2.8% lower than Vientos's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Burnes.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.2%19.1%2.5%3.9%12.6%7.2%31.6%
Vientos-2.8-2.5-0.6-1.0-0.9-0.4+0.2
Burnes-3.6-2.8+0.2-0.5-2.5-0.8+8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Vientos is better vs right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vientos has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Mark Vientos hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
52%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Slider (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

18.4% of Mark Vientos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.3% +3.2% 5%         Walk -1.0% -1.6% 42%         In Play -5.3% -1.6% 39%         On Base -0.5% -3.4% 31%         Hit +0.5% -1.8% 14%         Single -1.0% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -0.2% 3%         Home Run +2.1% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years