Matchup Machine

Mark Vientos

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matchup for Chris Paddack

96th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Chris Paddack

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matchup for Mark Vientos

259th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Leans in favor of Paddack
2

Model Prediction

Mark Vientos has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 0.6% lower than Vientos's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Paddack.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%23.3%3.6%5.3%14.3%5.1%30.4%
Vientos-0.6+1.8+0.4+0.5+0.8-2.4-1.0
Paddack-1.8-0.4+0.3-0.3-0.4-1.4+8.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Vientos is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Vientos has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Mark Vientos has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

18.4% of Mark Vientos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.3% +4.3% 5%         Walk -1.0% -3.2% 42%         In Play -5.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.5% -3.8% 31%         Hit +0.5% -0.6% 14%         Single -1.0% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -0.1% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years