Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Martin

matchup for Shota Imanaga

171st out of 436 (Best 40%)

Shota Imanaga

matchup for Austin Martin

291st out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Leans in favor of Imanaga

Austin Martin has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Shota Imanaga, which is 1.3% lower than Martin's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Imanaga.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.2%	21.4%	1.8%	6.2%	13.3%	6.8%	20.1%
Martin	-1.3	+0.1	+0.2	+1.6	-1.7	-1.5	-0.8
Imanaga	-0.7	-0.6	-1.6	+0.3	+0.7	0.0	-4.5

Austin Martin is worse vs left-handed pitching. Shota Imanaga is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Martin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Shota Imanaga throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

52%

Splitter (L)

31%

Slider (L)

10% of Shota Imanaga's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Austin Martin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 10%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-5%

62% of Shota Imanaga's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 40% higher than the MLB average. Austin Martin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 62%

+40%

Offspeed (L) 35%

+22%

Very Slow Velo 36%

+20%

High Ride 27%

+17%

14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Shota Imanaga strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -5.7% +0.2% 6%

Walk -0.2% -2.9% 49%

In Play +5.9% +2.7% 39%

On Base +3.1% -5.5% 31%

Hit +3.3% -2.6% 14%

Single +2.6% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B +3.0% -1.5% 3%

Home Run -2.3% +0.9%

33.4% of Austin Martin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Shota Imanaga induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.0% -3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% -0.9% 14%

Low Screamer +3.7% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +6.3% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.1% +5.3% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +3.0%

8.2% of Austin Martin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. 19.3% of batted balls allowed by Shota Imanaga are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.1% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.7% -4.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% +3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +10.5% +9.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -16.1% -5.1%

12.1% of Austin Martin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. 15.5% of batted balls allowed by Shota Imanaga are hit at this angle, which is 4.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.0% +1.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.4% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° +2.8% -7.6% 18%

7 to 18° +2.8% -3.9% 15%

19 to 28° +1.5% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.7% +4.1% 7%

39 to 50° -4.2% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.0% +4.2%

Austin Martin has 3 plate appearances against Shota Imanaga in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.31	0.00	0.01	0.31			0.105

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-06	Lineout			24%	75%
2024-08-06	Groundout			6%	94%
2024-08-06	Flyout				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe