Matchup Machine

Austin Martin

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matchup for Jared Jones

59th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Austin Martin

473rd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Austin Martin has a 27.8% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.7% lower than Martin's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.8%18.5%1.7%4.2%12.7%9.2%28.5%
Martin-1.7-2.7+0.0-0.4-2.3+1.0+7.6
Jones-3.3-2.3-1.3-0.8-0.2-1.0-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Martin is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -5.7% +0.4% 6%         Walk -0.2% +0.6% 49%         In Play +5.9% -1.1% 39%         On Base +3.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit +3.3% -0.8% 14%         Single +2.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years