Matchup Machine

Austin Martin

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matchup for Corbin Burnes

137th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Corbin Burnes

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matchup for Austin Martin

404th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Burnes
4

Model Prediction

Austin Martin has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 1.2% lower than Martin's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Burnes.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%21.3%1.4%4.0%15.8%7.1%20.5%
Martin-1.2+0.0-0.2-0.6+0.8-1.2-0.5
Burnes-1.4-0.6-0.9-0.4+0.7-0.9-2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Martin is better vs right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
52%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Slider (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -5.7% +3.2% 6%         Walk -0.2% -1.6% 49%         In Play +5.9% -1.6% 39%         On Base +3.1% -3.4% 31%         Hit +3.3% -1.8% 14%         Single +2.6% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% -0.2% 3%         Home Run -2.3% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years