Matchup Machine

Austin Martin

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

180th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Austin Martin

59th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Moderate advantage for Martin
5

Model Prediction

Austin Martin has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.4% higher than Martin's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%22.5%2.3%5.2%14.9%10.5%17.8%
Martin+3.4+1.3+0.7+0.6-0.1+2.2-3.1
Flaherty-1.3-0.8-1.3+0.1+0.4-0.5-5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Martin is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Martin has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -5.7% +5.8% 6%         Walk -0.2% -1.5% 49%         In Play +5.9% -4.3% 39%         On Base +3.1% -2.0% 31%         Hit +3.3% -0.5% 14%         Single +2.6% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -2.3% -0.2%

History

Austin Martin has 3 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →1.310.000.011.300.437
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-14Strikeout
2024-04-14Groundout39%61%
2024-04-14Single91%8%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.