Austin Martin has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.4% higher than Martin's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Flaherty.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 32.9% | 22.5% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 17.8% |
Martin | +3.4 | +1.3 | +0.7 | +0.6 | -0.1 | +2.2 | -3.1 |
Flaherty | -1.3 | -0.8 | -1.3 | +0.1 | +0.4 | -0.5 | -5.0 |
Austin Martin is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Martin has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Austin Martin has 3 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.30 | 0.437 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-04-14 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-04-14 | Groundout | 39% | 61% | ||
2024-04-14 | Single | 91% | 8% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.