Matchup Machine

Austin Martin

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matchup for Tyler Mahle

171st out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Tyler Mahle

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matchup for Austin Martin

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Mahle
2

Model Prediction

Austin Martin has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 0.2% higher than Martin's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Mahle.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%20.7%2.1%4.8%13.8%8.6%20.4%
Martin-0.2-0.5+0.4+0.2-1.2+0.3-0.5
Mahle-1.0-0.3-1.3+0.6+0.4-0.7-4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Martin is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Martin does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -5.7% +10.2% 6%         Walk -0.2% -1.2% 49%         In Play +5.9% -9.0% 39%         On Base +3.1% -5.6% 31%         Hit +3.3% -4.3% 14%         Single +2.6% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -2.3% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years