Matchup Machine

Austin Martin

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matchup for Aaron Nola

128th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Austin Martin

415th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Nola
5

Model Prediction

Austin Martin has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.3% lower than Martin's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%21.4%2.1%6.3%13.0%5.8%29.1%
Martin-2.3+0.2+0.5+1.7-2.0-2.5+8.1
Nola-2.2-0.9-0.9+0.1-0.1-1.3-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Martin is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Martin does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -5.7% +6.3% 6%         Walk -0.2% -2.8% 49%         In Play +5.9% -3.5% 39%         On Base +3.1% -4.8% 31%         Hit +3.3% -2.0% 14%         Single +2.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -2.3% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years