matchup for Jorge Lopez
matchup for Austin Martin
5
Austin Martin has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Jorge Lopez, which is 1.8% lower than Martin's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Lopez.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.7% | 21.1% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 20.8% |
| Martin | -1.8 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.4 | -1.7 | -0.2 |
| Lopez | -2.8 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -1.5 | -3.8 |
Austin Martin is better vs right-handed pitching. Jorge Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Martin does't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Jorge Lopez throws a Sinker 26% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
26%
Kn-Curve (R)
25%
4-Seam (R)
21%
Changeup (R)
12%
Slider (R)
9%
14% of Jorge Lopez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Austin Martin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+6%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Chaser
6%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Meatball
3%
-3%
35% of Jorge Lopez's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Austin Martin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
35%
+20%
Extreme Drop
21%
+16%
14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Jorge Lopez strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
19%
Strikeout
-5.7%
+0.2%
6%
Walk
-0.2%
-0.3%
49%
In Play
+5.9%
+0.1%
39%
On Base
+3.1%
+1.5%
31%
Hit
+3.3%
+1.8%
14%
Single
+2.6%
+0.9%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.0%
+0.9%
3%
Home Run
-2.3%
-0.1%
33.9% of Austin Martin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Jorge Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 42.3% rate, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.6%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-0.5%
+7.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.8%
+1.4%
14%
Low Screamer
+4.4%
-4.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+5.2%
-1.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.2%
+0.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-3.6%
+1.3%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
-0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.9%
-4.6%
3%
Pop up
+0.2%
+0.2%
7.8% of Austin Martin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 16.5% lower than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Jorge Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+3.8%
-0.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+4.7%
+0.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.0%
-0.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+10.0%
-0.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
-16.5%
+0.9%
12.6% of Austin Martin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Jorge Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-4.6%
+9.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.1%
-0.1%
8%
1 to 6°
+3.3%
+1.4%
18%
7 to 18°
+2.0%
-5.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.3%
-0.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.1%
+0.3%
7%
39 to 50°
-4.1%
-2.7%
8%
Above 50°
-0.3%
-2.3%
Austin Martin has 2 plate appearances against Jorge Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-07 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-08-05 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
