Matchup Machine

Austin Martin

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matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

229th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Yusei Kikuchi

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matchup for Austin Martin

444th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Kikuchi
5

Model Prediction

Austin Martin has a 26.6% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 3.0% lower than Martin's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Kikuchi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.6%21.7%1.7%5.1%14.9%4.9%24.4%
Martin-3.0+0.5+0.1+0.5-0.1-3.4+3.5
Kikuchi0.0+1.1-1.0+0.3+1.8-1.1-5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Martin is worse vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Martin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Martin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
11%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Austin Martin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -5.7% +4.3% 6%         Walk -0.2% -1.4% 49%         In Play +5.9% -2.8% 39%         On Base +3.1% -0.9% 31%         Hit +3.3% +0.5% 14%         Single +2.6% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% +0.3% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +0.2%

History

Austin Martin has 3 plate appearances against Yusei Kikuchi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.490.000.010.470.163
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-10Groundout11%89%
2024-05-10Pop Out100%
2024-05-10Groundout1%37%62%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.