Matchup Machine

Bryan Reynolds

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

373rd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for Bryan Reynolds

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Reynolds
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Model Prediction

Bryan Reynolds has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 2.3% higher than Reynolds's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%28.1%2.6%5.7%19.8%6.6%19.5%
Reynolds+2.3+4.9-0.4+0.3+5.1-2.6-6.0
Gillaspie+3.1+2.90.0+0.2+2.7+0.2+0.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Bryan Reynolds is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Reynolds has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Bryan Reynolds's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% -9.1% 5%         Walk -1.0% -5.0% 39%         In Play +0.7% +14.2% 39%         On Base +2.4% +11.5% 31%         Hit +3.4% +16.6% 14%         Single +1.0% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% +7.8% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years