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Bryan Reynolds

matchup for Elvis Peguero

198th out of 436 (Best 46%)

Elvis Peguero

matchup for Bryan Reynolds

303rd out of 564 (Worst 46%)

Moderate advantage for Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 2.3% higher than Reynolds's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Peguero.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.6%	23.7%	1.9%	3.8%	18.0%	10.9%	22.2%
Reynolds	+2.3	+0.5	-1.1	-1.6	+3.2	+1.7	-3.3
Peguero	-0.4	-0.6	+0.1	-0.4	-0.2	+0.2	+0.7

Bryan Reynolds is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Reynolds has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 52% of the time. Bryan Reynolds has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

Sinker (R)

48%

14% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 1%

-5%

41% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 41%

+28%

Extreme Break 41%

+27%

Breaking (R) 52%

+21%

Very Fast Velo 28%

+20%

14.7% of Bryan Reynolds's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.2% -4.6% 5%

Walk -1.0% +2.1% 39%

In Play +0.7% +2.5% 39%

On Base +2.4% +4.9% 31%

Hit +3.4% +2.7% 14%

Single +1.0% +1.9% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% +2.3% 3%

Home Run +1.1% -1.4%

35.2% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero induces Standard Grounders at a 48.3% rate, which is 13.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +13.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -5.9% 3%

Pop up -2.3% -2.0%

28.7% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. 28.1% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% -2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% -5.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.4% +3.8%

11.8% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% +11.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% +4.6% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -3.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% -4.5% 8%

Above 50° -2.1% -4.1%

Bryan Reynolds has 2 plate appearances against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.15	0.00	0.01	0.14			0.074

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-02	Pop Out				100%
2023-06-17	Flyout		1%	13%	85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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