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Bryan Reynolds

matchup for Jack Flaherty

356th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for Bryan Reynolds

62nd out of 567 (Best 12%)

Extreme advantage for Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.9% higher than Reynolds's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	24.8%	4.7%	5.8%	14.3%	10.5%	23.6%
Reynolds	+2.9	+1.6	+1.7	+0.4	-0.5	+1.3	-1.9
Flaherty	+1.0	+1.5	+1.1	+0.6	-0.2	-0.5	+0.8

Bryan Reynolds is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Reynolds has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has a B- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

14.7% of Bryan Reynolds's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.2% +5.8% 5%

Walk -1.0% -1.5% 39%

In Play +0.7% -4.3% 39%

On Base +2.4% -2.0% 31%

Hit +3.4% -0.5% 14%

Single +1.0% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -0.3% 3%

Home Run +1.1% -0.2%

35.2% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -2.3% -0.8%

28.7% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.4% -2.8%

11.8% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% +0.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% -1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% +1.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +0.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% +0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% -0.2% 8%

Above 50° -2.1% -1.9%

Bryan Reynolds has 14 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 14 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	14	2	0	1	1	3	0	0.143
Expected From Contact →			1.88	0.37	0.43	1.09			0.135

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-09	Single			87%	13%
2024-08-09	Strikeout
2024-08-09	Flyout				99%
2023-06-02	Strikeout
2023-06-02	Hit By Pitch
2023-06-02	Groundout			4%	96%
2022-09-30	Flyout		1%		98%
2022-09-30	Hit By Pitch
2022-09-30	Strikeout
2022-09-10	GIDP			17%	83%
2022-09-10	Groundout				99%
2022-09-10	Flyout				99%
2022-06-15	Triple	36%	40%	1%	23%
2022-06-15	Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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