Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Bryan Reynolds

matchup for Chad Green

316th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Chad Green

matchup for Bryan Reynolds

438th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Green

Bryan Reynolds has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 5.0% lower than Reynolds's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Green.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	21.0%	3.8%	5.8%	11.3%	6.4%	25.6%
Reynolds	-5.0	-2.2	+0.7	+0.4	-3.4	-2.8	+0.1
Green	+0.6	+0.8	+0.5	+0.8	-0.5	-0.2	+0.5

Bryan Reynolds is better vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Reynolds has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

72%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

16% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

47% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 47%

+28%

High Ride 37%

+27%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Fastball (R) 73%

+20%

14.7% of Bryan Reynolds's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.2% +9.3% 5%

Walk -1.0% -3.9% 39%

In Play +0.7% -5.4% 39%

On Base +2.4% -8.6% 31%

Hit +3.4% -4.7% 14%

Single +1.0% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -2.9% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.3%

35.2% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Chad Green induces Standard Grounders at a 25.6% rate, which is 8.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -8.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +9.5% 3%

Pop up -2.3% +1.8%

28.7% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -4.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% +4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.4% +3.6%

11.8% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 15.0% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% -3.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% -2.8% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% -2.5% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% +3.5% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% +1.3% 8%

Above 50° -2.1% +5.8%

Bryan Reynolds has 2 plate appearances against Chad Green in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01			0.010

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-02	Walk
2024-05-31	Pop Out				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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