Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Bryan Reynolds

matchup for J. Loaisiga

313th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Jonathan Loaisiga

matchup for Bryan Reynolds

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Jonathan Loaisiga, which is 0.1% higher than Reynolds's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Loaisiga.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.3%	25.3%	2.7%	4.0%	18.6%	7.0%	22.3%
Reynolds	-0.1	+2.1	-0.4	-1.4	+3.8	-2.2	-3.2
Loaisiga	+1.2	+1.0	+0.6	-0.3	+0.7	+0.3	+1.4

Bryan Reynolds is better vs right-handed pitching. Jonathan Loaisiga is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Reynolds has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jonathan Loaisiga throws a Sinker 39% of the time. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

39%

4-Seam (R)

22%

Curve (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

15%

9% of Jonathan Loaisiga's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

50% of Jonathan Loaisiga's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 50%

+26%

Extreme Break 38%

+24%

Extreme Fast Velo 24%

+22%

14.7% of Bryan Reynolds's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Jonathan Loaisiga strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.2% +0.7% 5%

Walk -1.0% -0.3% 39%

In Play +0.7% -0.4% 39%

On Base +2.4% -4.1% 31%

Hit +3.4% -3.8% 14%

Single +1.0% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +1.1% -2.5%

35.2% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Jonathan Loaisiga induces Standard Grounders at a 52.1% rate, which is 17.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +17.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% +2.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -4.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -3.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -8.2% 3%

Pop up -2.3% +0.2%

28.7% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. 17.7% of batted balls allowed by Jonathan Loaisiga are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +10.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +6.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -3.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% -7.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.4% -6.6%

11.8% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 5.7% of batted balls allowed by Jonathan Loaisiga are hit at this angle, which is 5.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% +13.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% +1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% +0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% -2.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -3.8% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% -5.8% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% -1.3% 8%

Above 50° -2.1% -1.8%

Bryan Reynolds has 1 plate appearance against Jonathan Loaisiga in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.40	0.00	0.00	0.39			0.396

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-20	Single			39%	60%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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