matchup for Dakota Hudson
matchup for Bryan Reynolds
10
Bryan Reynolds has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Dakota Hudson, which is 6.2% higher than Reynolds's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Hudson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 38.6% | 26.6% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% |
| Reynolds | +6.2 | +3.7 | -0.1 | +1.0 | +2.8 | +2.5 | -12.4 |
| Hudson | +1.3 | +1.4 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +0.7 |
Bryan Reynolds is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Dakota Hudson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Reynolds has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Dakota Hudson throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Bryan Reynolds has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
41%
Slider (R)
26%
4-Seam (R)
17%
Curve (R)
12%
14% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+6%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Meatball
6%
0%
Chaser
6%
-1%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
Mid Challenge
8%
-4%
33% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Just Gravity
33%
+20%
Large Break
34%
+13%
Medium Velo
20%
+10%
15.0% of Bryan Reynolds's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Dakota Hudson strikes out 10.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.7%
-7.7%
5%
Walk
-1.1%
+3.2%
39%
In Play
+0.4%
+4.5%
39%
On Base
+2.1%
+4.9%
31%
Hit
+3.1%
+1.7%
14%
Single
+0.9%
+1.1%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.2%
+1.6%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
-1.0%
35.2% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Dakota Hudson induces Standard Grounders at a 41.2% rate, which is 6.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
0.0%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.8%
+6.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.1%
+1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.3%
-2.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.5%
+1.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
-0.9%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.9%
-0.4%
1%
No Doubter
+0.4%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.4%
-3.3%
3%
Pop up
-2.3%
-1.3%
28.7% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. 26.2% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.9%
-3.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.1%
+0.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.4%
-0.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
0.0%
+1.0%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.4%
+1.9%
11.8% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 8.1% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at this angle, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.3%
+6.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.0%
+2.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.2%
+0.0%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.9%
+0.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.1%
-3.9%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.3%
-3.3%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.1%
-0.4%
8%
Above 50°
-2.1%
-2.1%
Bryan Reynolds has 8 plate appearances against Dakota Hudson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a double and 2 walks
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 2.74 | 0.26 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 0.456 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-16 | Groundout | 6% | 94% | ||
| 2024-06-16 | Walk | ||||
| 2024-06-16 | Lineout | 2% | 23% | 1% | 74% |
| 2023-09-01 | Single | 2% | 79% | 20% | |
| 2023-09-01 | Flyout | 22% | 10% | 67% | |
| 2023-09-01 | Groundout | 31% | 69% | ||
| 2022-10-04 | Double | 2% | 89% | 6% | 3% |
| 2022-10-04 | Walk | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
