Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Bryan Reynolds

matchup for Wade Miley

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Wade Miley

matchup for Bryan Reynolds

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds has a 37.5% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 5.1% higher than Reynolds's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Miley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.5%	26.9%	3.4%	5.4%	18.1%	10.6%	18.8%
Reynolds	+5.1	+3.7	+0.3	+0.0	+3.4	+1.4	-6.7
Miley	+1.0	+0.1	+0.4	+0.5	-0.9	+1.0	+0.8

Bryan Reynolds is worse vs left-handed pitching. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Reynolds has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Bryan Reynolds has a D+ grade against left-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (L)

44%

Changeup (L)

23%

4-Seam (L)

16%

Curve (L)

24% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

35% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Bryan Reynolds has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 35%

+22%

Small Break 25%

+15%

Medium Slow Velo 27%

+13%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+11%

14.7% of Bryan Reynolds's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.2% -1.5% 5%

Walk -1.0% +0.0% 39%

In Play +0.7% +1.5% 39%

On Base +2.4% -0.5% 31%

Hit +3.4% -0.5% 14%

Single +1.0% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.1% -1.2%

35.2% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Wade Miley induces Standard Grounders at a 43.9% rate, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +9.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -3.0% 3%

Pop up -2.3% -0.3%

28.7% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +5.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% -4.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.4% -2.8%

11.8% of Bryan Reynolds's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% +7.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% +2.9% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% -3.6% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% -1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -2.1% -1.8%

Bryan Reynolds has 7 plate appearances against Wade Miley in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	2	0	1	1	2	0	0.286
Expected From Contact →			2.06	0.05	0.64	1.37			0.294

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-17	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-06-17	Double	5%	63%	26%	6%
2022-09-24	Strikeout
2022-09-24	Single			72%	28%
2022-05-16	Groundout			31%	69%
2022-05-16	Strikeout
2022-05-16	Groundout			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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