Matchup Machine

Spencer Steer

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matchup for Jared Jones

133rd out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Spencer Steer

453rd out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
4

Model Prediction

Spencer Steer has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.0% lower than Steer's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%18.6%2.5%4.9%11.2%10.8%31.5%
Steer-2.0-2.4-0.1-0.2-2.1+0.4+6.6
Jones-1.6-2.2-0.5-0.1-1.6+0.6+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Steer is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Steer has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Spencer Steer has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Spencer Steer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.5% +0.6% 40%         In Play -0.9% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.7% -0.8% 14%         Single -1.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years