Matchup Machine

Spencer Steer

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Spencer Steer

543rd out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Spencer Steer has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 5.6% lower than Steer's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.7%18.9%2.1%5.0%11.7%6.9%37.1%
Steer-5.6-2.1-0.40.0-1.7-3.5+12.2
Crochet-1.7-2.1-0.30.0-1.7+0.4+1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Steer is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Steer has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Spencer Steer has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Spencer Steer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +9.4% 3%         Walk +2.5% -1.3% 40%         In Play -0.9% -8.1% 39%         On Base -0.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit -2.7% -2.5% 14%         Single -1.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.1%

History

Spencer Steer has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010100.333
Expected From Contact →0.950.000.810.140.317
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-13Double81%14%5%
2024-04-13Strikeout
2024-04-13Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.