Matchup Machine

      Spencer Steer

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      matchup for Logan Gilbert

      285th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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      Logan Gilbert

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      matchup for Spencer Steer

      538th out of 564 (Worst 5%)

      Strong advantage for Gilbert
      7

      Model Prediction

      Spencer Steer has a 24.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 6.9% lower than Steer's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Gilbert.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Spencer Steer is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Steer has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Spencer Steer has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      44%
         Slider (R)
      29%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      9%
         Splitter (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      13.5% of Spencer Steer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% +4.3% 3%         Walk +2.3% -4.2% 40%         In Play -0.5% 0.0% 39%         On Base +0.2% -7.3% 31%         Hit -2.1% -3.0% 14%         Single -1.3% -1.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.5%

      History

      Spencer Steer has 6 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual652002110.400
      Expected From Contact →1.530.020.590.920.305
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-16Lineout
      2024-04-16Flyout
      2024-04-16Single
      2023-09-06Strikeout
      2023-09-06Walk
      2023-09-06Single12%88%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.