Matchup Machine

Spencer Steer

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

276th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Spencer Steer

305th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Steer
2

Model Prediction

Spencer Steer has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 2.4% higher than Steer's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%18.0%2.2%3.8%12.0%15.8%26.2%
Steer+2.4-2.9-0.4-1.3-1.3+5.4+1.3
Schmidt+1.9-1.5-0.2-0.2-1.1+3.4+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Steer is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Steer has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Spencer Steer has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Spencer Steer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +0.3% 3%         Walk +2.5% +1.6% 40%         In Play -0.9% -1.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.3% 31%         Hit -2.7% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.3% 0.0%

History

Spencer Steer has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.800.000.010.790.399
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-19Single57%43%
2023-05-19Groundout22%77%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.