Matchup Machine

      Spencer Steer

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      matchup for Luis Castillo

      150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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      Luis Castillo

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      matchup for Spencer Steer

      410th out of 564 (Worst 27%)

      Leans in favor of Castillo
      2

      Model Prediction

      Spencer Steer has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Luis Castillo, which is 2.0% lower than Steer's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Castillo.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Spencer Steer is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Castillo is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Steer has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Luis Castillo throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Spencer Steer has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      40%
         Slider (R)
      21%
         Sinker (R)
      20%
         Changeup (R)
      19%

      Contact and Outcomes

      13.5% of Spencer Steer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Luis Castillo strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% +7.2% 3%         Walk +2.3% -1.4% 40%         In Play -0.5% -5.8% 39%         On Base +0.2% -5.8% 31%         Hit -2.1% -4.4% 14%         Single -1.3% -2.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -1.8% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years