Matchup Machine

Spencer Steer

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

180th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Spencer Steer

211st out of 567 (Best 38%)

Moderate advantage for Steer
4

Model Prediction

Spencer Steer has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.0% higher than Steer's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%19.2%2.4%5.0%11.8%14.2%21.6%
Steer+2.0-1.7-0.1-0.1-1.5+3.7-3.2
Anderson-0.3-3.0-0.5-0.2-2.3+2.7+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Steer is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Steer has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Spencer Steer has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Spencer Steer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% -1.9% 3%         Walk +2.5% -1.0% 40%         In Play -0.9% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.7% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.2%

History

Spencer Steer has 5 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001200.200
Expected From Contact →1.270.000.201.070.254
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-19Strikeout
2024-04-19Lineout6%16%78%
2024-04-19Flyout13%2%85%
2023-08-23Strikeout
2023-08-23Single2%89%10%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.