Matchup Machine

Spencer Steer

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matchup for Martin Perez

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Spencer Steer

38th out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Steer
9

Model Prediction

Spencer Steer has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.0% higher than Steer's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%24.7%4.1%4.5%16.0%10.7%19.2%
Steer+4.0+3.7+1.6-0.5+2.7+0.3-5.7
Perez+0.8-0.6+1.1-0.8-0.9+1.4+0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Steer is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Steer has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Spencer Steer has an A- grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Spencer Steer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% -6.1% 3%         Walk +2.5% -0.3% 40%         In Play -0.9% +6.4% 39%         On Base -0.2% +5.9% 31%         Hit -2.7% +6.3% 14%         Single -1.6% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.6%

History

Spencer Steer has 3 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.110.000.010.090.036
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-25Flyout99%
2023-04-25Groundout8%91%
2023-04-25Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.