Matchup Machine

JJ Bleday

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matchup for Declan Cronin

274th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for JJ Bleday

390th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Bleday
3

Model Prediction

JJ Bleday has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 0.2% higher than Bleday's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.5%20.6%2.7%3.9%13.9%11.9%21.9%
Bleday+0.2-0.1-0.8-1.0+1.6+0.3+0.5
Cronin+0.1-2.6+0.5-0.6-2.4+2.7-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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JJ Bleday is better vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Bleday has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. JJ Bleday has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of JJ Bleday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.1% -0.3% 3%         Walk +2.5% -0.3% 38%         In Play +2.6% +0.5% 39%         On Base -0.4% +3.8% 31%         Hit -2.9% +4.0% 14%         Single -2.0% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -1.7%

History

JJ Bleday has 1 plate appearance against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.260.000.000.260.260
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-03Groundout26%74%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.