Matchup Machine

JJ Bleday

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matchup for Jared Jones

401st out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for JJ Bleday

188th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Strong advantage for Bleday
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Model Prediction

JJ Bleday has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.1% higher than Bleday's typical expectations, and 3.3% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%20.6%4.3%4.8%11.5%13.8%25.2%
Bleday+2.1-0.2+0.7-0.1-0.8+2.2+3.9
Jones+3.3-0.3+1.3-0.2-1.3+3.6-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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JJ Bleday is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bleday has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. JJ Bleday has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of JJ Bleday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.1% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.5% +0.6% 38%         In Play +2.6% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.4% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.9% -0.8% 14%         Single -2.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years