Matchup Machine

JJ Bleday

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for JJ Bleday

397th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Bleday
3

Model Prediction

JJ Bleday has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.7% lower than Bleday's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%20.9%2.7%5.9%12.3%9.6%21.2%
Bleday-1.7+0.2-0.8+1.00.0-2.0-0.1
Weathers+0.7-0.6+0.6+0.3-1.6+1.3-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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JJ Bleday is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Bleday has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. JJ Bleday has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of JJ Bleday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.1% -2.1% 3%         Walk +2.5% -0.6% 38%         In Play +2.6% +2.7% 39%         On Base -0.4% +0.9% 31%         Hit -2.9% +1.5% 14%         Single -2.0% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years