Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

JJ Bleday

matchup for Shelby Miller

391st out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Shelby Miller

matchup for JJ Bleday

227th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Strong advantage for Bleday

JJ Bleday has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 1.5% lower than Bleday's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.7%	20.5%	5.0%	5.1%	10.3%	10.3%	21.7%
Bleday	-1.5	-0.2	+1.5	+0.3	-2.0	-1.3	+0.3
Miller	+1.5	-0.7	+1.3	+0.1	-2.1	+2.2	-3.0

JJ Bleday is better vs right-handed pitching. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bleday has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. JJ Bleday has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. JJ Bleday has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. JJ Bleday has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 27%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

11.5% of JJ Bleday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.1% +0.3% 3%

Walk +2.5% +0.8% 38%

In Play +2.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base -0.4% -4.9% 31%

Hit -2.9% -5.7% 14%

Single -2.0% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.3%

30.4% of JJ Bleday's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.0% -0.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% +3.5% 3%

Pop up +2.8% +1.2%

21.1% of JJ Bleday's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% -4.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.5% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.2% +1.2%

11.1% of JJ Bleday's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%