Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Rogers

matchup for Will Warren

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Will Warren

matchup for Jake Rogers

255th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Leans in favor of Rogers

Jake Rogers has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 1.5% higher than Rogers's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	20.5%	3.2%	5.9%	11.4%	11.6%	33.0%
Rogers	+1.5	-0.9	-0.2	+0.9	-1.6	+2.4	+1.8
Warren	-1.5	-1.5	+0.4	+0.5	-2.4	-0.1	+6.7

Jake Rogers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rogers has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Jake Rogers has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

18.0% of Jake Rogers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.7% +3.0% 5%

Walk -1.3% +1.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% -4.3% 39%

On Base -5.7% -0.5% 31%

Hit -4.4% -1.8% 14%

Single -3.4% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +1.7% +1.6%

29.2% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.7% +7.7% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -2.8%

22.7% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.8% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.4% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +2.1%

15.9% of Jake Rogers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%