Matchup Machine

Jake Rogers

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

221st out of 436 (Best 51%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for Jake Rogers

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Rogers
4

Model Prediction

Jake Rogers has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.7% higher than Rogers's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%25.1%3.4%6.1%15.6%6.2%26.1%
Rogers+0.7+3.70.0+1.1+2.6-3.0-5.0
Gillaspie-0.3-0.2+0.7+0.6-1.5-0.1+6.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Rogers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rogers has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Jake Rogers has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

18.0% of Jake Rogers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.7% -9.1% 5%         Walk -1.3% -5.0% 41%         In Play -4.3% +14.2% 39%         On Base -5.7% +11.5% 31%         Hit -4.4% +16.6% 14%         Single -3.4% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +7.8% 3%         Home Run +1.7% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years